Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.066280 0.071072 0.076058 0.081641 0.087724 0.094160 0.101492
2025-11-30 0.057194 0.064222 0.071952 0.081115 0.091718 0.103649 0.118153
2025-12-07 0.049527 0.057628 0.066930 0.078467 0.092483 0.109073 0.130364
2025-12-14 0.043355 0.051887 0.062026 0.075071 0.091560 0.111918 0.139274
2025-12-21 0.039471 0.048395 0.059320 0.073831 0.092832 0.117192 0.151323
2025-12-28 0.037266 0.046709 0.058586 0.074835 0.096823 0.126038 0.168641
2026-01-04 0.035259 0.045060 0.057687 0.075424 0.100150 0.134091 0.185454
2026-01-11 0.033087 0.043001 0.056044 0.074796 0.101633 0.139563 0.198919
2026-01-18 0.031317 0.041339 0.054780 0.074528 0.103500 0.145597 0.213628
2026-01-25 0.029421 0.039369 0.052941 0.073267 0.103754 0.149169 0.224744
2026-02-01 0.027489 0.037228 0.050716 0.071263 0.102696 0.150586 0.232428
2026-02-08 0.025832 0.035377 0.048786 0.069545 0.101904 0.152273 0.240589
2026-02-15 0.024358 0.033744 0.047120 0.068174 0.101636 0.154902 0.250850
2026-02-22 0.023544 0.033028 0.046760 0.068772 0.104521 0.162874 0.271241
2026-03-01 0.022160 0.031397 0.044943 0.066976 0.103386 0.164038 0.279524
2026-03-08 0.020663 0.029526 0.042663 0.064301 0.100600 0.162143 0.281908
2026-03-15 0.019696 0.028411 0.041484 0.063322 0.100578 0.165015 0.293571
2026-03-22 0.019233 0.028041 0.041436 0.064176 0.103731 0.173744 0.317548
2026-03-29 0.018718 0.027564 0.041190 0.064673 0.106275 0.181546 0.340525
2026-04-05 0.018017 0.026760 0.040377 0.064154 0.106954 0.185901 0.356810
2026-04-12 0.017424 0.026100 0.039763 0.063932 0.108143 0.191297 0.375897
2026-04-19 0.016699 0.025199 0.038711 0.062884 0.107722 0.193502 0.388197
2026-04-26 0.015897 0.024139 0.037349 0.061215 0.106022 0.193025 0.394372